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Noise: A Flaw In Human Judgment

From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones--"a tour de force" (New York Times).

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients--or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants--or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment--and what we can do about it.

Harry Potter: Hedwig Owl Figurine: With Sound!

Hear Hedwig chirp and coo with this officially licensed miniature figurine of Harry Potter's beloved snowy owl.

Copyright © 2023 Warner Bros. Entertainment. WIZARDING WORLD characters, names, and related indicia are © & ™ Warner Bros.

Entertainment Inc. WB SHIELD: © & ™ WBEI. Publishing Rights © JKR. (s23)

The Unstoppable You: 7 Ways To Tap Into Your Potential For Success

This innovative book from a New York Times bestselling author shows leaders, entrepreneurs, and creatives new ways to go far—faster than they ever thought possible.

Are you unstoppable? You can be. Most people allow others to put limitations on them. They even put limitations on themselves. Don’t ever do that again. You don’t have to be stoppable. Instead, unleash your potential.

When John Maxwell started his career in small-town Indiana, few people would have guessed he would go on to become a bestselling author and world-wide leadership expert. How did he do it? He didn’t put limits on himself. He believed he could make a difference in the world, and he kept going until he achieved it.

You can too. In The Unstoppable You, Maxwell teaches the seven ways you can tap into your potential and start overcoming obstacles, solving problems, and accomplishing results you previously thought impossible.

Go ahead. Take your next steps and achieve the success you’ve always dreamt of. Then never stop.

L'atelier + Niv .A1 ( Édition 2022) - Cahier + Didierfle.app

Agir, interagir et apprendre avec plaisir

Coopérer pour construire du sens et résoudre des missions concrètes

Réfléchir ensemble au fonctionnement de la langue, pas à pas et en spirale

S'ouvrir aux autres et se détendre par des découvertes culturelles et des jeux

Développer et partager les stratégies d'apprentissage

Perfectionner sa prononciation avec 34 vidéos de phonétique

Faciliter et enrichir sa pratique d'enseignant avec le guide classe

Paint By Sticker Kids: Unicorns And Magic: Create 10 Pictures One Sticker At A Time!

Paint a magical world with stickers (including glitter stickers)!

Paint by Sticker Kids: Unicorns & Magic includes everything kids need to create ten vibrant images, including unicorns, a dragon, a princess, and more.

Step 1: Find the sticker.

Step 2: Peel the sticker.

Step 3: Place the sticker.

Add the next, and the next, and watch your enchanting paintings come to life! All the pages are perforated, making it easy to tear out each finished work to frame and share!

Paint By Sticker Kids: Outer Space: Create 10 Pictures One Sticker At A Time!

Blast Off Into Outer Space With Stickers

It's no wonder the Paint by Sticker Kids series has skyrocketed in sales and now has over 3 million copies in print. What better fun, creative, screen-free, and mess-free activity is there--especially when families are spending more time at home?

Introducing the newest interstellar addition to the series: Paint by Sticker Kids: Outer Space goes where no Paint by Sticker book has gone before. Kids will love stickering a Mars rover, a space shuttle, an astronaut, iconic celestial bodies like Saturn, Jupiter, and the Sun, and more! Plus, the back of each image includes a fascinating scientific fact about each galactic subject.

The stickers are easy for little hands to handle. And because there's no paint involved, there's no splatter, drips, or hassle of cleanup. Just peel off the stickers, place them on the corresponding numbered spaces, and watch a vibrant image emerge. And, in the spirit of outer space exploration, some images will include awesome glow-in-the-dark stickers.

Paint By Sticker Kids: Dinosaurs: Create 10 Pictures One Sticker At A Time!

Create pictures of 10 awesome dinosaurs... with stickers!

Step 1: Find the sticker

Step 2: Peel the sticker

Step 3: Place the sticker ...and watch your dinosaur painting come to life!

Includes everything you need to create ten sticker paintings on sturdy stock--plus, all the pages are perforated, making it easy to tear out each finished work to frame and share. Features fascinating dinosaur facts on the back of each painting!

Mighty Marvel Masterworks: The Avengers Vol. 2: The Old Order Changeth

The stories that built the Marvel Universe, from the brilliant minds of legendary creators — now available in an accessible new format the whole family can enjoy! Brought together to fight the Marvel Universe’s biggest menaces, Iron Man, Thor, Giant-Man and the Wasp were heavy hitters — but Marvel heroes don’t just fight crime; they live, dream, argue — and even fall out! In an innovative twist that would come to define the Avengers, Stan Lee chose to have the team’s original members depart, leaving Captain America to carry on with new allies: Hawkeye, Quicksilver and the Scarlet Witch — all former foes, now conflicted and newly minted heroes who completed a dynamic, unpredictable and exciting new quartet! Featuring the menaces of Kang the Conqueror, Count Nefaria, Baron Zemo’s Masters of Evil, the Swordsman and more! Avengers Reassemble!

The Folk Of The Air 1: The Cruel Prince

By 1 New York Times bestselling author Holly Black, the first book in a stunning new series about a mortal girl who finds herself caught in a web of royal faerie intrigue.

Of course I want to be like them. They're beautiful as blades forged in some divine fire. They will live forever.

And Cardan is even more beautiful than the rest. I hate him more than all the others. I hate him so much that sometimes when I look at him, I can hardly breathe.

Jude was seven years old when her parents were murdered and she and her two sisters were stolen away to live in the treacherous High Court of Faerie. Ten years later, Jude wants nothing more than to belong there, despite her mortality. But many of the fey despise humans. Especially Prince Cardan, the youngest and wickedest son of the High King.

To win a place at the Court, she must defy him--and face the consequences.

In doing so, she becomes embroiled in palace intrigues and deceptions, discovering her own capacity for bloodshed. But as civil war threatens to drown the Courts of Faerie in violence, Jude will need to risk her life in a dangerous alliance to save her sisters, and Faerie itself.

Business Without The Bullsh*t: 49 Secrets And Shortcuts You Need To Know

Contrary to popular belief, the business world is not that complicated. While every industry and every profession requires specific expertise, the truth is that the 'business of business' is relatively simple.

For the past seven years, Geoffrey James has written a daily blog that's become one of the most popular business-focused destinations on the web. In Business Without The Bullsh*t, readers will learn surprising but tried-and-true secrets about being an extraordinary boss, about coping with annoying coworkers, and navigating the thorny problems that recur in every workplace.

TIPS FROM BUSINESS WITHOUT THE BULLSH*T:

Long work hours mean less work gets done.

What every boss wants from you. 

Why your resume is your enemy.

Combo Outliers - The Tipping Point - What The Dog Saw

- Outliers: The Story Of Success

- The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make A Big Difference

- What The Dog Saw: And Other Adventures

Weird but True! Ripped from the Headlines: 2 : Real-Life Stories You Have to Read to Believe

Did you know that a town in Spain celebrates an annual Tomato fight? That British police are still searching for crooks who stole 60,000 bees from their hive? These are just a few of the bizarre but totally true stories you'll find in this exciting new addition to the popular Weird But True series that prove fact IS often stranger than fiction! In keeping with Weird But True's signature style, this book features cool photos, a fun design, and plenty of zany stories from current day and history."

Every so often a love story so captures our hearts that it becomes more than a story-it becomes an experience to remember forever. The Notebook is such a book. It is a celebration of how passion can be ageless and timeless, a tale that moves us to laughter and tears and makes us believe in true love all over again...

At thirty-one, Noah Calhoun, back in coastal North Carolina after World War II, is haunted by images of the girl he lost more than a decade earlier. At twenty-nine, socialite Allie Nelson is about to marry a wealthy lawyer, but she cannot stop thinking about the boy who long ago stole her heart. Thus begins the story of a love so enduring and deep it can turn tragedy into triumph, and may even have the power to create a miracle...

The Dragon Rebellion has begun, bringing the Vikings' darkest hour upon them. Hiccup has become an outcast, but that won't stop him from going on the most harrowing and important quest of his life. He must find the Dragon's Jewel in order to save his people...but where should he begin? Don't miss Hiccup's most dangerous adventure yet!

Lovely, idealistic Tracy Whitney is framed into a fifteen year sentence in an escape-proof penitentiary. With dazzling ingenuity she fights back to destroy the untouchable crime lords who put her there. With her intelligence and beauty as her only weapons, Tracy embarks on a series of extraordinary escapades that sweep her across the globe. In an explosive confrontation Tracy meets her equal in irresistible Jeff Stevens, whose past is as colorful as Tracy's.

Stranded on the exceptionally dangerous, and possibly haunted, Beach of the Broken Heart, Hiccup must face UG the Uglithug and complete the impossible task--or die trying. Illustrations.

I Will Teach You To Be Rich

Buy as many lattes as you want. Choose the right accounts and investments so your money grows for you—automatically. Best of all, spend guilt-free on the things you love.

Personal finance expert Ramit Sethi has been called a “wealth wizard” by Forbes and the “new guru on the block” by Fortune. Now he’s updated and expanded his modern money classic for a new age, delivering a simple, powerful, no-BS 6-week program that just works.

I Will Teach You to Be Rich will show you:

How to crush your debt and student loans faster than you thought possible

How to set up no-fee, high-interest bank accounts that won’t gouge you for every penny

How Ramit automates his finances so his money goes exactly where he wants it to—and how you can do it too

How to talk your way out of late fees (with word-for-word scripts)

How to save hundreds or even thousands per month (and still buy what you love)

A set-it-and-forget-it investment strategy that’s dead simple and beats financial advisors at their own game

How to handle buying a car or a house, paying for a wedding, having kids, and other big expenses—stress free

The exact words to use to negotiate a big raise at work

Plus, this 10th anniversary edition features over 80 new pages, including:

New tools

New insights on money and psychology

Amazing stories of how previous readers used the book to create their rich lives

Master your money—and then get on with your life.

The 12-Week Mba

Getting an MBA takes time and money, making it inaccessible to many people who want to take charge in the business world. The 12-Week MBA offers an alternative way to learn business essentials by focusing on the skills and knowledge required to succeed as both a manager and a business leader. The 12-Week MBA's unique premise is that business leaders in any industry, any function, and at any level need the same core knowledge, skills, and attitudes to effectively manage and lead. That core consists of working through and with other people to create value while using financial concepts and metrics to maximize the value created for all company stakeholders. The timeless essence of managing numbers and leading people can be learned in less time and at a lower cost than in a traditional two-year MBA, where much of the curriculum may become obsolete by the time students graduate. Authors Bjorn Billhardt and Nathan Kracklauer are senior executives at Abilitie, a global leadership development company that has served over 100,000 learners in fifty countries. Abilitie's clients include some of the world's most recognizable brands such as Coca-Cola, The New York Times, and Dell. Now the key lessons from Abilitie's 12- Week MBA curriculum are available in this accessible and engaging guide.

The Folk Of The Air 3: The Queen Of Nothing

A powerful curse forces the exiled Queen of Faerie to choose between ambition and humanity in this highly anticipated and jaw-dropping finale to The Folk of the Air trilogy from a 1 New York Times bestselling author.

He will be the destruction of the crown and the ruination of the throne

Power is much easier to acquire than it is to hold onto. Jude learned this lesson when she released her control over the wicked king, Cardan, in exchange for immeasurable power.

Now as the exiled mortal Queen of Faerie, Jude is powerless and left reeling from Cardan's betrayal. She bides her time determined to reclaim everything he took from her. Opportunity arrives in the form of her twin sister, Taryn, whose life is in peril.

Jude must risk venturing back into the treacherous Faerie Court, and confront her lingering feelings for Cardan, if she wishes to save her sister. But Elfhame is not as she left it. War is brewing. As Jude slips deep within enemy lines she becomes ensnared in the conflict's bloody politics.

And, when a dormant yet powerful curse is unleashed, panic spreads throughout the land, forcing her to choose between her ambition and her humanity . . .

Think Like a Champion : An Informal Education In Business and Life

Over the years, President Donald Trump has written many bestselling books, but he has also written shorter essays that encompass his philosophy about how to live life to the fullest, both personally and professionally. In these pieces, which have been personally selected by Trump for this book, he gives his special perspective in what amounts to an informal education about success in business and in life. With a foreword by Rich Dad, Poor Dad, author Robert Kiyosaki, Trump's business acumen is on full display in such essays as:

*Keep the Big Picture in Mind

Disney Princess 5-Minute Princess Stories

This treasury stars all 12 Disney princesses, from Snow White to Moana, and features a durable, padded cover and beautiful full-page illustrations.

Each of the twelve stories in this collection is the perfect length for reading aloud in about five minutes, making them perfect for jam-packed days.

The princesses' latest adventures are the royal choice before bedtime, story time, or anytime!

Featuring Snow White, Cinderella, Aurora, Ariel, Belle, Jasmine, Pocahontas, Mulan, Tiana, Rapunzel, Merida, and Moana!

"An indispensable guide for introverts and extroverts alike." -- Inc. Magazine

Grenadine 2 - Livre de l'élève

Structure :

- Une unité 0 (3p) présentation des personnages de la méthode et des consignes

Descriptif :

- Un itinéraire d'apprentissage structuré et dynamique construit autour de neuf unités. 

*Pay brand-new employees $2,000 to quit *Make customer service the responsibility of the entire company-not just a department *Focus on company culture as the no.1 priority *Apply research from the science of happiness to running a business *Help employees grow-both personally and professionally *Seek to change the world *Oh, and make money too ...Sound crazy? It's all standard operating procedure at Zappos, the online retailer that's doing over $1 billion in gross merchandise sales annually.

After debuting as the highest-ranking newcomer in Fortune magazine's annual "Best Companies to Work For" list in 2009, Zappos was acquired by Amazon in a deal valued at over $1.2 billion on the day of closing. In DELIVERING HAPPINESS, Zappos CEO Tony Hsieh shares the different lessons he has learned in business and life, from starting a worm farm to running a pizza business, through LinkExchange, Zappos, and more. Fast-paced and down-to-earth, DELIVERING HAPPINESS shows how a very different kind of corporate culture is a powerful model for achieving success-and how by concentrating on the happiness of those around you, you can dramatically increase your own.

Grenadine: Cahier D'Activites 2

Le cahier d'activités de Grenadine vient renforcer l'apprentissage de l'écrit à travers : neuf unités qui suivent les trois phases d'apprentissage du livre ; trois bilans qui permettent de faire le point sur la compréhension et la production écrite ; des pages de graphie ; un lexique évolutif de 156 mots à compléter et à colorier.

Arthur's Halloween

BESTSELLING CLASSIC SERIES! More than 5 million Arthur Adventure books sold!

Get spooked with Arthur this Halloween!

With all of his classmates in costumes, Arthur can't tell who's who at the school Halloween party, and he nearly faints when Buster passes around bowls of "eyeballs" and "brains!" But when Arthur's little sister wanders off into the scariest house on the street while trick-or-treating, he's got to find the courage to go in and save her. Will Arthur and D.W. make it out alive?

One Good Night 'til Halloween

Celebrate Halloween in a special way with this bright, joyful board book.

The day is almost here! It's only "one more good night" until Halloween. As a child goes to sleep, they can't wait for all the fun that comes with celebrating their favorite holiday with their loved ones. They know the next day will be filled with the best Halloween decorations, treats, and costumes! Experience familial traditions in this sweet holiday primer.

Zip! Zoom! On A Broom

Ten Little Monkeys meets Room on the Broom in this counting-focused Halloween-themed read aloud; now as a board book!

One goes zip, two go zoom.

Three witches glide from room to room.

So begins this witchy counting story, now as a board book. Counting up from 1 to 10 and back down again, ten witches jump on a broom--and then fall off one by one! Written in pitch-perfect rhyme, and full of fun read-aloud energy that will have kids memorizing lines and clamoring to read the book again and again, this book hits the mash-up sweet spot between an important concept and Halloween fun!

1, 2, Let's Say Boo

Sing, count, and laugh with baby in this adorable Halloween board book retelling of a classic nursery rhyme!

In this Halloween nursery rhyme reimagining, pets are getting in on the trick-or-treating fun! Featuring heart-melting animal photography and a simple counting lesson, this board book is a perfect seasonal sing-along for you and baby.

Christopher Pumpkin

Fans of Room on the Broom and How to Catch a Monster will love this creepy-cute tale about one pumpkin who must learn to embrace his differences when he realizes he's unlike the other pumpkins. This oversized board book is perfect for Halloween!

Christopher Pumpkin is not like all the other evil pumpkin spawn of the wicked old witch. Christopher prefers cupcakes and hugs to cobwebs and slugs, unlike the rest of the pumpkin brood.

But when the creepy clan starts planning the SCARIEST Halloween party ever, Christopher's cheerful ideas for décor and treats cause a bit of a stir. Can he find a way to scare everyone and stay true to himself?

What Is Halloween?

Celebrate the light-hearted side of Halloween with your little one by focusing on all the fun fall activities to do with family and friends.

Sincere and humorous questions ponder all of the things that Halloween might be about—haunted houses, trick-or-treating, scary masks, and spooky ghosts—only to conclude that it is about celebrating the autumn season with family and friends. With whimsical art and rhyming text, this book focuses on how fun this time of year can be instead of playing up the frightening symbols of the holiday.

We're Going On A Pumpkin Hunt

In this delightful twist on a popular folk song, three trick-or-treaters go on a spooky adventure to find a pumpkin!

We're going on a pumpkin hunt.

We're going to find a big one.

What a beautiful night!

We're not scared.

Three trick-or-treaters are looking for the perfect pumpkin on a beautiful, Halloween night. They have to make their way through some sticky cobwebs, flying bats, and even a dark, spooky house! But they're not scared. The trick-or-treaters eventually find their pumpkin and...a ghost!

This book publishes simultaneously in board.

My First Trick Or Treat

Focus on the playful side of Halloween with this cheerful collection of colorful images and simple words to teach your baby and toddlers.

Included are words such as pumpkin, scarecrow, leaf, and candy, with special emphasis on the not-so-scary side of this favorite fall holiday. Strengthen vocabulary and encourage speech while embracing the magic of the season. The small size and heavy pages make this sweet book perfect for little hands.

Little Pumpkin, Where’s Your Light?

Brighten your little one's Halloween with this silly board book about friends who band together to help a jack-o-lantern with a problem.

A jack-o-lantern's light is missing just before Halloween! Unsure what to do, the pumpkin asks for help, and a witch, a black cat, and a friendly ghost all join the quest to find the light. With an air of mischievous Halloween fun, an intriguing problem, and oddball friends, this board book is equal parts silly and sweet. Little trick-or-treaters will love the simple storyline and satisfying, cooperative conclusion.

Trick or Treat, You're So Sweet!

Celebrate Halloween and the little ones who love it with this sweet lift-the-flap board book about Halloween's true hero—its candy.

Children love Halloween costumes and candy, and we love seeing them all dressed up, enjoying the spoils of their trick-or-treating. This book's simple lighthearted text celebrates children and their favorite candies, with a mix of humor and sincerity that will appeal to little ones with a sweet tooth—and parents looking for a cute, cozy tale.

Vivid illustrations feature a varied cast of trick-or-treaters, each with his or her candy of choice. As the text expresses affection in a clever-yet-"sweet" way, readers can lift flaps to reveal more Halloween fun. Heartfelt and funny, Trick or Treat, You're So Sweet! will soon be a Halloween favorite.

Shores of Dora - Book 1 - A Lakeside Reunion

This summer, escape to the Shores­--a Southern lake town full of elegance and glamour in a story about family traditions, friendship, and a love that can’t be denied--for readers of Sunny Hostin’s Summer on Sag Harbor

Chareese “Reese” Devlin spent every summer of her childhood in the lake town of Mount Dora, Florida, where her days were filled with fun in the sun. Reese never realized that the idyllic haven hid a deep divide between the town’s haves and have-nots. Not until the summer she turned seventeen and fell for Duncan McNeal, a boy who lacked the pedigree so valued by her parents and their equally well-connected friends.

After her family squashed the budding romance, Reese refused to return to the place she lost her heart. Now, ten years later, she’s back to attend her sister’s debutante ball and must come to terms with all she’s missed. But the biggest surprise of all is that Duncan is now a successful real estate developer in Mount Dora—and time hasn’t weakened the connection between them.

Private Russia - Book 1 - Private Moscow

In this action-packed thriller, an invitation from an old friend draws Private Investigative agency founder Jack Morgan into a deadly conspiracy.

On a cold January morning, Jack Morgan stands inside the New York Stock Exchange with his former US Marine comrade whose company is being launched onto the market, eagerly awaiting the opening bell.

But before the bell rings, a bullet rips through the air and finds its mark.In the aftermath of the murder, the victim's wife hires Jack to find the killer. As the head of Private, Jack has at his disposal the world's largest investigation agency. What he discovers shakes him to his core. Jack identifies another murder in Moscow that appears to be linked. So he heads to Russia, and begins to uncover a conspiracy that could have global consequences.

With powerful forces plotting against him, will Jack Morgan make it out alive?

How Women Rise

Overcome the twelve habits holding you back and take your career to new heights with this wise and approachable guide from two business leadership experts.

Ready to take the next step in your career . . . but not sure what's holding you back? Read on.

Leadership expert Sally Helgesen and bestselling leadership coach Marshall Goldsmith have trained thousands of high achievers -- men and women -- to reach even greater heights. Again and again, they see that women face specific and different roadblocks from men as they advance in the workplace. In fact, the very habits that helped women early in their careers can hinder them as they move up. Simply put, what got you here won't get you there . . . and you might not even realize your blind spots until it's too late.

Are you great with the details? To rise, you need to do less and delegate more.

Are you a team player? To advance, you need to take credit as easily as you share it.

Are you a star networker? Leaders know a network is no good unless you know how to use it.

Sally and Marshall identify the twelve habits that hold women back as they seek to advance, showing them why what worked for them in the past might actually be sabotaging their future success. Building on Marshall's classic bestseller What Got You Here Won't Get You There, How Women Rise is essential reading for any woman who is ready to advance to the next level.